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NOTE: THIS POST WRITTEN LAST NIGHT
My apologies to those of you who follow the Vindicator @ HOB, that site
has a new look and a new host and the settings necessary to access the
Vindicator got lost in the transition. The problem has been identified
and access should now be available, if you're still having problems
clear cache and cookies in your browser.
Looks like the high today in the SPX/ES marked the end of a wave
4(red) with wave 5(red) now in progress.
The strong and impulsive
looking sell off into and after the close
confirm this labeling. Wave 1(red) traveled ES 54.50 points, so if W4
did in fact terminate at today's high of 1088.75 then W1 (red) = W5
(red) at 1034.25.

I mentioned last week that I was working on the Stochastic version of
the Vindicator. It's performance during the sell off last week was odd
to say the least. I rechecked the code and the input data last
Thursday evening and found no issues. Over the weekend I experimented
with some other ways to manipulate the input data, below is what looks
most promising. The middle indicator below (labeled VindicatorStochV2)
is actually the original V Stoch with an enhancement. The darker blue
is that original V Stoch, the light blue is the slope of the V
Stoch curve. I had to do some fancy math dancing to convert the slope
into a form that matches the 0 to 100 stochastic format, in actuality
the raw number actually oscillates from a negative reading through zero
to a positive reading and then back (anybody recognize that from
another site?). Anyway, the idea is to get kind of an early warning on
a change of trend. If you examine the result, it's not 100% but it
isn't bad. The bottom indicator (labeled VindicatorStochV3) uses the
same input data as the original V Stoch but handles it just a little
bit differently, you can see it pretty much mirrors the original V
Stoch but seems to be just a tad more accurate.

As I said both the V Stoch versions tended to mirror each other except
for the chart from Friday. On that day the original V Stoch peaked
around lunchtime and then declined through the rest of the day, while
the newer version bottomed in the morning and increased during the rest
of the day, i.e. they directly contradicted each other. Interesting.
That problem cleared up today when they both put in peaks and started
to decline, the newer V Stoch around mid-morning and the original
version around mid-day. I established short ES when the new version
peaked and added to the position when the original one peaked. So far
that's looking good.

I haven't had time to run an in depth trading simulation with these new
twists, I'll try to find time in the near future. Meanwhile, both
versions will now be part of the 30 minute charts available at the
Vindicator HOB link.
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